Colchaguavs
Provincial Osorno
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 6/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Colchagua are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Provincial Osorno are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Provincial Osorno hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.6% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
27.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20