Colchaguavs
Municipal Salamanca
SCHEDULEDChile · Segunda División · 8/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Colchagua are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Municipal Salamanca are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal Salamanca hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 62.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 32.6% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
32.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40