Colchaguavs
Municipal Salamanca
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 9/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Colchagua 0-0 Municipal Salamanca, with an exact score probability of 37%.
Prediction record
Final result
Colchagua 0-1 Municipal Salamanca
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 38.9% | 36.3% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 31.1% | 37.8% | 6.7 pts |
| Away | 3.01 | 30.0% | 25.9% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Projected Score
Colchagua 0–0 Municipal Salamanca
Exact score probability: 37%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ColchaguaDLLLW
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Municipal SalamancaLWWDW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ColchaguaMunicipal Salamanca
35.7Attack28.2
71.4Defence82.1
54.8Form56.4
55.2Power58.3
0.59xG0.44