GGOALVIO

Morocco · Botola Pro · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CODM Meknès · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

CODM Meknès 0-1 Kawkab Marrakech

Original prediction

CODM Meknès

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3338.8%43.3%4.5 pts
Draw2.8931.3%28.3%-3.0 pts
Away3.0229.9%28.4%-1.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.1–09%

Predicted outcome

CODM Meknès

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

CODM Meknès has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CODM MeknèsWWLWD

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Kawkab MarrakechLDDDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
CODM MeknèsKawkab Marrakech
100.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
80.3Power23.7
1.75xG1.07
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