GGOALVIO

Australia · Western Australia State League 1 · 4/13/2024, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Murdoch Melville · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Cockburn City are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Murdoch Melville are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Murdoch Melville hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Western Australia State League 1, while Murdoch Melville holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Murdoch Melville

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Murdoch Melville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cockburn CityLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 15 · avg 0.20/3.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Murdoch MelvilleWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 2.67/1.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Cockburn CityMurdoch Melville
54.0Attack58.7
25.4Defence31.7
36.5Form34.9
40.9Power43.8
2.42xG2.48
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