GGOALVIO

Australia · Western Australia State League 1 · 3/30/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mandurah City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Highconfidence

Cockburn City are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Mandurah City are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mandurah City hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Western Australia State League 1, while Mandurah City holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mandurah City

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

53.3%

Mandurah City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cockburn CityLLLLD

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Mandurah CityLLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.67/2.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Cockburn CityMandurah City
54.0Attack69.8
25.4Defence39.7
36.5Form52.4
40.9Power54.6
2.07xG3.05
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