Cobresalvs
Universidad de Concepcion
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 10/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cobresal · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cobresal 1-1 Universidad de Concepcion
Original prediction
Cobresal
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 46.2% | 51.3% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 26.1% | 24.4% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.34 | 27.7% | 24.2% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Cobresal
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Cobresal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80