GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 2/14/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

U. Catolica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Cobresal are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while U. Catolica are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and U. Catolica hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 59.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.2% in the Primera División, while U. Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

U. Catolica

Probability

67.2%

Model confidence

67.2%

U. Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CobresalLWWLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
U. CatolicaWDWDW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CobresalU. Catolica
44.4Attack74.1
31.5Defence51.9
25.9Form55.6
36.0Power59.7
1.28xG2.98
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