Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cobresal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Palestino are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cobresal hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60