Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nublense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cobresal are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Nublense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nublense hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Primera División, while Nublense holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nublense
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
12.6%
Nublense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20