Cobresalvs
Coquimbo Unido
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Coquimbo Unido · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cobresal 3-2 Coquimbo Unido
Original prediction
Coquimbo Unido
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.33 | 27.7% | 28.2% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.4% | 25.2% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 44.9% | 46.6% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Coquimbo Unido
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Coquimbo Unido has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60