GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/4/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cobresal · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cobresal are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while A. Italiano are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Cobresal holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cobresal

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Cobresal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CobresalLDWLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
A. ItalianoLWLWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
CobresalA. Italiano
33.3Attack38.1
66.7Defence52.4
33.3Form38.1
45.3Power45.1
1.29xG0.95
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