Cobreloavs
Santiago Wanderers
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 9/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cobreloa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cobreloa 1-0 Santiago Wanderers
Original prediction
Cobreloa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.6% | 41.3% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.9% | 28.7% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 4.01 | 22.5% | 30.0% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Cobreloa
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Cobreloa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00