Cobreloavs
San Marcos de Arica
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 9/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cobreloa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cobreloa 0-0 San Marcos de Arica, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cobreloa 2-0 San Marcos de Arica
Original prediction
Cobreloa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.6% | 46.2% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.6% | 28.1% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.67 | 24.7% | 25.7% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Projected Score
Cobreloa 0–0 San Marcos de Arica
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Cobreloa
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Cobreloa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CobreloaLWDDD
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
San Marcos de AricaLLLDL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CobreloaSan Marcos de Arica
64.8Attack40.0
63.0Defence73.3
63.0Form50.0
63.6Power56.1
1.14xG0.79