Cobán Imperialvs
Municipal
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 10/15/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Municipal · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cobán Imperial 0-1 Municipal, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cobán Imperial 2-1 Municipal
Original prediction
Municipal
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.83 | 32.0% | 19.6% | -12.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.2% | 25.8% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.8% | 54.5% | 15.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.8 pts
Projected Score
Cobán Imperial 0–1 Municipal
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Municipal
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
Municipal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Cobán ImperialLWWDD
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MunicipalDDWDW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Cobán ImperialMunicipal
41.0Attack48.5
48.7Defence78.8
33.3Form66.7
43.5Power66.3
0.62xG1.46