Cobán Imperialvs
Marquense
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 10/25/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marquense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cobán Imperial 3-1 Marquense
Original prediction
Marquense
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.8% | 35.8% | -17.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.3% | 27.2% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.32 | 21.0% | 37.1% | 16.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Marquense
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Marquense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80