Cobán Imperialvs
Malacateco
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 10/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cobán Imperial · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cobán Imperial 2-0 Malacateco
Original prediction
Cobán Imperial
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 01:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 57.2% | 36.1% | -21.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.2% | 28.7% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 5.16 | 17.7% | 35.2% | 17.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Cobán Imperial
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Cobán Imperial has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00