GGOALVIO

World · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 8/16/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CS Cartagines · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cobán Imperial are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LDLW), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.50 conceded, while CS Cartagines are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and CS Cartagines hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, while CS Cartagines holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CS Cartagines

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

35.8%

CS Cartagines has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cobán ImperialLDLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.25/1.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
CS CartaginesDWLWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Cobán ImperialCS Cartagines
33.3Attack33.3
41.7Defence66.7
33.3Form33.3
36.4Power48.3
1.23xG1.36
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