Cobán Imperialvs
Aurora
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 9/27/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cobán Imperial · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cobán Imperial 3-2 Aurora
Original prediction
Cobán Imperial
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 01:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 61.3% | 43.8% | -17.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.4% | 27.8% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 5.92 | 15.3% | 28.4% | 13.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Cobán Imperial
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Cobán Imperial has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40