First DivisionFirst Division
Friday, 31 July 202619:45Updated today
Cobh Ramblers

Cobh Ramblers

Home
L
vs
19:45
Wexford

Wexford

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
52% confidence
Cobh Ramblers(52%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Cobh Ramblers
52%
Draw
26%
Wexford
22%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Cobh Ramblers
34
Wexford
34
Defence
Cobh Ramblers
27
Wexford
27
Momentum
Cobh Ramblers
0
Wexford
0
Danger (xG)
Cobh Ramblers
0.90
Wexford
0.90
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.79 xG for Cobh Ramblers and 0.95 xG for Wexford. Wexford's projected xG of 0.95 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 1-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Cobh Ramblers's defensive record — 2 clean sheets in 10 matches — combined with Wexford's limited attacking output (1 clean sheets conceded in 10 games) supports the model's projection of at least one side keeping a clean sheet.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.74 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.

xG for (Cobh Ramblers)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Wexford)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Cobh Ramblers)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Wexford)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers
LLLLW
WexfordWexford
LDLDD

Probability breakdown

52% confidence
Cobh Ramblers52%
Draw26%
Wexford22%

Cobh Ramblers leads with 52% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Cobh Ramblers Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Cobh Ramblers host Wexford in First Division. Cobh Ramblers have recorded WLLLLL in recent matches while Wexford arrive with a run of DDLDLW. These sides have met 10 times recently, averaging 3.4 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 1.79 expected goals for Cobh Ramblers against 0.95 for Wexford — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. Cobh Ramblers's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 57% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.
: ⚠️ Upset Risk Wexford have won 1 of their last 10 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While Cobh Ramblers carry the stronger underlying metrics, Wexford's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

Cobh Ramblers are generating a commanding xG advantage — 1.79 projected against 0.95 for Wexford. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.84 is the clearest signal in the model that Cobh Ramblers are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: Cobh Ramblers's projection depends on converting chances into goals. If Wexford defend deep, absorb pressure, and hit on the counter, the match could end differently than the model projects — particularly if Cobh Ramblers fail to score in the first half.

Risk factors

  • Cobh Ramblers have been conceding 1.57 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

Cobh Ramblers

Cobh Ramblers

L
@ Waterford
17 Jul 2026
12
L
@ Athlone Town
10 Jul 2026
02
L
vs Cork City
3 Jul 2026
01
L
@ UCD
26 Jun 2026
02
W
vs Athlone Town
15 May 2026
10
Wexford

Wexford

L
@ St Patrick's Athl.
17 Jul 2026
12
D
vs Kerry
10 Jul 2026
22
L
@ Finn Harps
3 Jul 2026
01
D
vs Treaty United
26 Jun 2026
00
D
@ Athlone Town
19 Jun 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Cobh Ramblers vs Wexford?

GoalVio's model predicts Cobh Ramblers to win with 52% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Cobh Ramblers vs Wexford?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Cobh Ramblers vs Wexford?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cobh Ramblers vs Wexford?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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