Cobh Ramblersvs
Longford Town
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Longford Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cobh Ramblers 2-2 Longford Town
Original prediction
Longford Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 38.3% | 34.7% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.4% | 27.2% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 33.4% | 38.1% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Longford Town
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Longford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60