First DivisionFirst Division
Friday, 24 July 2026Last updated 17:00
Cobh Ramblers

Cobh Ramblers

Home
L
12
Full time
Bray Wanderers

Bray Wanderers

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Cobh Ramblers(33%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Cobh Ramblers
33%
Draw
27%
Bray Wanderers
40%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Cobh Ramblers
34
Bray Wanderers
34
Defence
Cobh Ramblers
27
Bray Wanderers
91
Momentum
Cobh Ramblers
0
Bray Wanderers
100
Danger (xG)
Cobh Ramblers
0.90
Bray Wanderers
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.63 xG for Cobh Ramblers and 1.38 xG for Bray Wanderers — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.26), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 3.01 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating elevated xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.

xG for (Cobh Ramblers)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Bray Wanderers)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Cobh Ramblers)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Bray Wanderers)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers
LLLLW
Bray WanderersBray Wanderers
WWWLW

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Cobh Ramblers33%
Draw27%
Bray Wanderers40%

Bray Wanderers leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Cobh Ramblers Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Cobh Ramblers host Bray Wanderers in First Division. Cobh Ramblers have recorded WLLLLL in recent matches while Bray Wanderers arrive with a run of WLWWWW. These sides have met 10 times recently, averaging 3.3 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 1.63 expected goals for Cobh Ramblers against 1.38 for Bray Wanderers — a marginal but consistent advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. Cobh Ramblers's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 51% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.
: 🔄 Head-to-Head Record Cobh Ramblers have won 5 of the last 10 meetings between these sides — a historically dominant record that the model treats as a meaningful signal when the underlying stats are otherwise close.

Why GoalVio backs this

Cobh Ramblers have won 5 of the last 10 meetings between these sides. Historical head-to-head dominance captures tactical matchup advantages that aggregate stats can miss — when one team consistently finds ways to beat the same opponent, that pattern is a meaningful signal in its own right.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Cobh Ramblers, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Bray Wanderers score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • Bray Wanderers are in decent form with 5 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
  • Cobh Ramblers have been conceding 1.57 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Recent form

Cobh Ramblers

Cobh Ramblers

L
@ Waterford
17 Jul 2026
12
L
@ Athlone Town
10 Jul 2026
02
L
vs Cork City
3 Jul 2026
01
L
@ UCD
26 Jun 2026
02
W
vs Athlone Town
15 May 2026
10
Bray Wanderers

Bray Wanderers

W
@ Finn Harps
17 Jul 2026
10
W
vs UCD
10 Jul 2026
60
W
vs Athlone Town
3 Jul 2026
10
L
@ Cork City
26 Jun 2026
02
W
vs Longford Town
19 Jun 2026
52

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Cobh Ramblers vs Bray Wanderers?

GoalVio's model predicts Cobh Ramblers to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Cobh Ramblers vs Bray Wanderers?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Cobh Ramblers vs Bray Wanderers?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cobh Ramblers vs Bray Wanderers?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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