Coastal Unionvs
Singida Black Stars
COMPLETEDTanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · 10/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Singida Black Stars · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Coastal Union 1-0 Singida Black Stars
Original prediction
Singida Black Stars
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 34.7% | 25.5% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.3% | 24.6% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.28 | 39.1% | 49.8% | 10.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Singida Black Stars
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Singida Black Stars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20