Ligi kuu BaraLigi kuu Bara
Tuesday, 30 June 2026Last updated 10:10
Coastal Union

Coastal Union

Home
WL
21
Full time
Pamba Jiji

Pamba Jiji

Away
L
Mkwakwani Stadium
GoalVio prediction
51% confidence
Coastal Union(51%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Coastal Union
Win probability
Coastal Union
51%
Draw
25%
Pamba Jiji
24%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Coastal Union
34
Pamba Jiji
34
Defence
Coastal Union
46
Pamba Jiji
27
Momentum
Coastal Union
50
Pamba Jiji
0
Danger (xG)
Coastal Union
0.90
Pamba Jiji
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Coastal Union)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Pamba Jiji)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Coastal Union)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Pamba Jiji)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Coastal UnionCoastal Union
WLW
Pamba JijiPamba Jiji
LD

Probability breakdown

51% confidence
Coastal Union51%
Draw25%
Pamba Jiji24%

Coastal Union leads with 51% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Coastal Union head into this in Ligi kuu Bara fixture at Mkwakwani Stadium in mixed form (WL), while Pamba Jiji arrive in mixed form (L). Coastal Union have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Pamba Jiji over 1 games.

The model rates Coastal Union's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Pamba Jiji defence, and Pamba Jiji's attack at 34/100 against a 46/100 Coastal Union backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Coastal Union have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. Pamba Jiji have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Coastal Union have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Coastal Union to win with 51% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Coastal Union 5090%, Draw 2510%, Pamba Jiji 2390%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Coastal Union 1Draws 00 Pamba Jiji
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
30 Jun 2026
Coastal Union
W21
Pamba Jiji

Recent form

Coastal Union

Coastal Union

W
vs Pamba Jiji
30 Jun 2026
21
L
vs Azam
27 Jun 2026
02
W
@ Mbeya City
13 May 2026
20
Pamba Jiji

Pamba Jiji

L
@ Coastal Union
30 Jun 2026
12
D
@ Azam
14 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Coastal Union vs Pamba Jiji?

GoalVio's model predicts Coastal Union to win with 51% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Coastal Union vs Pamba Jiji?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Coastal Union vs Pamba Jiji?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Coastal Union vs Pamba Jiji?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more