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Saturday, 27 June 2026Last updated 12:35
Coastal Union

Coastal Union

Home
WL
02
Full time
Azam

Azam

Away
W
Mkwakwani Stadium
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Azam(40%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction correct— Result: Azam
Win probability
Coastal Union
33%
Draw
27%
Azam
40%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Coastal Union
34
Azam
73
Defence
Coastal Union
46
Azam
91
Momentum
Coastal Union
50
Azam
100
Danger (xG)
Coastal Union
0.90
Azam
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Coastal Union)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Azam)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Coastal Union)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Azam)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Coastal UnionCoastal Union
WLW
AzamAzam
WD

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Coastal Union33%
Draw27%
Azam40%

Azam leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Coastal Union head into this in Ligi kuu Bara fixture at Mkwakwani Stadium in mixed form (WL), while Azam arrive in mixed form (W). Coastal Union have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Azam over 1 games.

Tactically, Azam hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a average Coastal Union defence (46/100), while Coastal Union's attack faces a watertight Azam backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Coastal Union have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. Azam have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

Azam have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Azam to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Coastal Union 3320%, Draw 2720%, Azam 3960%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Coastal Union 0Draws 01 Azam
Avg goals: 2.0
27 Jun 2026
Coastal Union
L02
Azam

Recent form

Coastal Union

Coastal Union

W
vs Pamba Jiji
30 Jun 2026
21
L
vs Azam
27 Jun 2026
02
W
@ Mbeya City
13 May 2026
20
Azam

Azam

W
@ Coastal Union
27 Jun 2026
20
D
vs Pamba Jiji
14 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Coastal Union vs Azam?

GoalVio's model predicts Azam to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Coastal Union vs Azam?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Coastal Union vs Azam?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Coastal Union vs Azam?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more