GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 3/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Coastal Spirit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Coastal Spirit are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Christchurch United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Coastal Spirit hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Coastal Spirit holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Coastal Spirit

Probability

55.4%

Model confidence

10.2%

Coastal Spirit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Coastal SpiritLLWWL

GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Christchurch UnitedLLLWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Coastal SpiritChristchurch United
66.7Attack0.0
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form0.0
80.3Power23.7
2.13xG1.26
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