Công An Nhân Dânvs
Thanh Hóa
COMPLETEDVietnam · V.League 1 · 10/22/2026, 12:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Công An Nhân Dân · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Công An Nhân Dân 1-1 Thanh Hóa
Original prediction
Công An Nhân Dân
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 74.8% | 57.3% | -17.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.74 | 15.8% | 22.6% | 6.8 pts |
| Away | 9.71 | 9.4% | 20.1% | 10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.74 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Công An Nhân Dân
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
Công An Nhân Dân has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80