Công An Nhân Dânvs
Kashima
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 10/13/2026, 12:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Công An Nhân Dân 0-1 Kashima
Original prediction
Kashima
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.38 | 14.5% | 27.5% | 13.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.87 | 18.9% | 24.8% | 5.9 pts |
| Away | 1.39 | 66.6% | 47.7% | -18.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Kashima
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40