GGOALVIO

World · ASEAN Club Championship · 9/26/2024, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Công An Nhân Dân · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Công An Nhân Dân are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Home United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Công An Nhân Dân hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.6% in the ASEAN Club Championship, while Công An Nhân Dân holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Công An Nhân Dân

Probability

64.6%

Model confidence

64.6%

Công An Nhân Dân has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Công An Nhân DânWWWDD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Home UnitedWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 21 · avg 1.00/4.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Công An Nhân DânHome United
60.0Attack40.0
60.0Defence20.0
46.7Form26.7
53.8Power32.7
2.56xG1.11
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