GGOALVIO

Vietnam · V.League 1 · 10/18/2026, 12:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Công An Nhân Dân · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Công An Nhân Dân 1-2 Ha Noi

Original prediction

Công An Nhân Dân

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5657.9%57.3%-0.6 pts
Draw4.1421.9%22.8%0.9 pts
Away4.4620.3%20.0%-0.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–012%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.2–110%

Predicted outcome

Công An Nhân Dân

Probability

57.3%

Model confidence

57.3%

Công An Nhân Dân has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Công An Nhân DânLWWLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Ha NoiWDLLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Công An Nhân DânHa Noi
66.7Attack33.3
100.0Defence22.2
100.0Form33.3
90.0Power33.8
2.20xG0.82
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