Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Clyde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Clyde 2-1 Dumbarton
Original prediction
Clyde
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 59.1% | 51.0% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 22.3% | 25.2% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 4.92 | 18.6% | 23.8% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Clyde
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Clyde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ClydeLWLDW
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
DumbartonWWWWL
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ClydeDumbarton
77.8Attack37.0
40.7Defence44.4
63.0Form44.4
60.7Power44.2
2.78xG1.17