Club Universitariovs
Universitario Tarija
COMPLETEDBolivia · Nacional B · 9/27/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Universitario · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Universitario 4-0 Universitario Tarija
Original prediction
Club Universitario
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.14 | 79.3% | 56.7% | -22.6 pts |
| Draw | 6.27 | 14.4% | 21.4% | 7.1 pts |
| Away | 14.29 | 6.3% | 21.9% | 15.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Club Universitario
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Club Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60