Club Tijuanavs
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 8/29/2026, 3:10:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Tijuana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Tijuana 2-0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Original prediction
Club Tijuana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 43.4% | 41.0% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.7% | 26.3% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.22 | 28.9% | 32.7% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Club Tijuana
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Club Tijuana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40