Club Tijuanavs
Santos Laguna
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 10/26/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Tijuana · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Tijuana 4-1 Santos Laguna
Original prediction
Club Tijuana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 46.5% | 38.2% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.8% | 29.1% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 3.36 | 27.7% | 32.7% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Club Tijuana
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Club Tijuana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60