Club Tijuanavs
Puebla
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 10/17/2026, 3:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Tijuana · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Tijuana 0-0 Puebla
Original prediction
Club Tijuana
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 53.3% | 48.1% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.9% | 26.0% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.28 | 21.8% | 26.0% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.74 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Club Tijuana
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Club Tijuana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80