Club Tijuanavs
Club Queretaro
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 9/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Tijuana · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Tijuana 0-1 Club Queretaro
Original prediction
Club Tijuana
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 46.0% | 44.6% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.7% | 26.2% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.53 | 26.4% | 29.1% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Club Tijuana
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Club Tijuana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40