Club Tijuanavs
Atlas
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 9/26/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Tijuana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Tijuana 2-3 Atlas
Original prediction
Club Tijuana
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 06:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 46.0% | 50.6% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.6% | 24.2% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.51 | 26.4% | 25.2% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Club Tijuana
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Club Tijuana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00