GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX U21 · 8/28/2026, 11:40:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club Tijuana U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Club Tijuana U21 0-0 UNAM Pumas U21, with an exact score probability of 20%.

Prediction record

Final result

Club Tijuana U21 2-1 UNAM Pumas U21

Original prediction

Club Tijuana U21

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7751.1%46.0%-5.1 pts
Draw3.5025.9%29.7%3.8 pts
Away3.9523.0%24.3%1.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.1 pts

Projected Score

Club Tijuana U21 0–0 UNAM Pumas U21

Exact score probability: 20%

Predicted outcome

Club Tijuana U21

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

Club Tijuana U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club Tijuana U21WDWDW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
UNAM Pumas U21LWLDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Club Tijuana U21UNAM Pumas U21
33.3Attack26.7
93.3Defence66.7
73.3Form33.3
69.5Power45.2
1.05xG0.62
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