Club Sp. San Lorenzovs
Sportivo Trinidense
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 10/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sportivo Trinidense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0-2 Sportivo Trinidense, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense
Original prediction
Sportivo Trinidense
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.81 | 19.0% | 10.1% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 25.2% | 19.2% | -6.0 pts |
| Away | 1.64 | 55.8% | 70.8% | 15.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.64 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.0 pts
Projected Score
Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–2 Sportivo Trinidense
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Sportivo Trinidense
Probability
70.8%
Model confidence
70.8%
Sportivo Trinidense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40