Club Sp. San Lorenzovs
Olimpia
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0-2 Olimpia, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0-3 Olimpia
Original prediction
Olimpia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.30 | 12.6% | 7.6% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.47 | 20.5% | 17.0% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.37 | 67.0% | 75.4% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.4 pts
Projected Score
Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–2 Olimpia
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Olimpia
Probability
75.4%
Model confidence
75.4%
Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20