Club Sp. San Lorenzovs
Nacional Asuncion
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 8/28/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nacional Asuncion · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0-1 Nacional Asuncion, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0-3 Nacional Asuncion
Original prediction
Nacional Asuncion
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.85 | 19.0% | 21.3% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.1% | 27.7% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.71 | 53.9% | 51.0% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Projected Score
Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Nacional Asuncion
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Nacional Asuncion
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Nacional Asuncion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80