Club Sp. San Lorenzovs
Deportivo Recoleta
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/28/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Recoleta · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0-0 Deportivo Recoleta
Original prediction
Deportivo Recoleta
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 31.7% | 30.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.3% | 25.6% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 40.1% | 43.8% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.24 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Recoleta
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Deportivo Recoleta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00