Club Sp. San Lorenzovs
Cerro Porteno
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 10/25/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cerro Porteno · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0-1 Cerro Porteno, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1-3 Cerro Porteno
Original prediction
Cerro Porteno
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 02:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.20 | 12.7% | 13.9% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.31 | 21.2% | 23.5% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.39 | 66.1% | 62.5% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.5 pts
Projected Score
Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Cerro Porteno
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Cerro Porteno
Probability
62.5%
Model confidence
62.5%
Cerro Porteno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40