Club Sp. San Lorenzovs
2 de Mayo
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/5/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
2 de Mayo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0-1 2 de Mayo, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1-2 2 de Mayo
Original prediction
2 de Mayo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.91 | 23.5% | 15.5% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.8% | 25.1% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 1.93 | 47.7% | 59.4% | 11.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.7 pts
Projected Score
Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 2 de Mayo
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
2 de Mayo
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
59.4%
2 de Mayo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80