Club Queretarovs
Toluca
SCHEDULEDMexico · Liga MX · 8/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Queretaro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Club Queretaro are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Toluca are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and toluca hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Liga MX, favouring Club Queretaro with 13.0% confidence, a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Club Queretaro
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
13.0%
Club Queretaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80