GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX · 8/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club Queretaro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Club Queretaro are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Toluca are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and toluca hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Liga MX, favouring Club Queretaro with 13.0% confidence, a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Club Queretaro

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

13.0%

Club Queretaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club QueretaroLLWWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TolucaLWWLW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Club QueretaroToluca
55.6Attack66.7
55.6Defence66.7
66.7Form66.7
62.6Power67.2
1.44xG1.43
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