Club Queretarovs
Leon
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 9/21/2026, 2:10:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Queretaro · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Queretaro 1-1 Leon
Original prediction
Club Queretaro
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 06:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 36.0% | 41.2% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.4% | 27.5% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 36.6% | 31.3% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Club Queretaro
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Club Queretaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20