GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club Queretaro · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Club Queretaro 1-0 Atlante FC, with an exact score probability of 15%.

Prediction record

Final result

Club Queretaro 2-0 Atlante FC

Original prediction

Club Queretaro

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1144.2%49.5%5.2 pts
Draw3.3527.8%27.1%-0.6 pts
Away3.3328.0%23.4%-4.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.2 pts

Projected Score

Club Queretaro 1–0 Atlante FC

Exact score probability: 15%

Predicted outcome

Club Queretaro

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

Club Queretaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club QueretaroWDWWL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atlante FCWDLDD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Club QueretaroAtlante FC
48.1Attack40.0
70.4Defence50.0
63.0Form36.7
62.7Power44.5
1.65xG0.66
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