Club Nacionalvs
Wanderers
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 3/13/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Nacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Club Nacional are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Wanderers are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.4 against 52.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Primera División, while Club Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Club Nacional
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Club Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20