Primera División - Apertura
Club Nacional
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Progreso
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Club Nacional leads with 53% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Club Nacional head into this in Primera División - Apertura fixture at Gran Parque Central in mixed form (L), while Progreso arrive in mixed form (L). Club Nacional have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Progreso over 1 games.
The model rates Club Nacional's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Progreso defence, and Progreso's attack at 9/100 against a 27/100 Club Nacional backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.
Club Nacional have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Progreso have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.
There is no head-to-head data between Club Nacional and Progreso in the engine.
The GoalVio engine projects Club Nacional to win with 53% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Club Nacional 5305%, Draw 2725%, Progreso 1970%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.
Recent form
Club Nacional
Progreso
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Club Nacional vs Progreso?
GoalVio's model predicts Club Nacional to win with 53% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Club Nacional vs Progreso?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.
Will both teams score in Club Nacional vs Progreso?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Club Nacional vs Progreso?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.