Club NacionalvsPenarol

Club Nacional are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Penarol are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Penarol hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Primera División, while Penarol holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.