Club Nacionalvs
Cerro Largo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 2/10/2023, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Nacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Club Nacional are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cerro Largo are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Nacional hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Primera División, while Club Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Club Nacional
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Club Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.67/0.67